Well, I have some good news and some bad news.
First the good news - home sales are up in inner-city Detroit.
The bad news is the homes are all foreclosures, for the most part. Sales are also up sharply in Las Vegas, Sacramento, Ca., and Fort Myers, Fl., as investors snatch up these properties at rock bottom prices - knowing that the value has nowhere to go but up!
Thomas Lawler, a housing economist in Virginia, says sellers "have moved into the acceptance mode" and homes are being priced to sell quickly. He says, "I think it is the first stage of good news for the market."
It is believed that the nationwide inventory of foreclosed homes is nearly half a million homes. Many lenders were slow to slash prices, hoping to avoid huge losses. But, more lenders are deeply cutting prices, as the cost of taxes, insurance and upkeep grow.
For the first four months of 2008, home sales in Detroit, excluding suburbs, were up 48% from a year earlier!
This information came to us from the Michigan Association of Realtors. The average home price dropped 56%, and many feel that there will be no further price drops.
Visit our webpage, Detroit Properties Available, to find a bargain for yourself before the gravy train moves on!
Also, on a happy note, some top US bank regulators are proposing that New York Attorney General Andrew Cuomo's plan to address inflated appraisals should be dropped. It is believed that his plan unfairly penalizes the appraisers, rather than the brokers and lenders that threaten to blacklist appraisers that cannot "hit" value.
It is also believed that Cuomo's plan would add hidden costs and fees to an already overpriced mortgage cost system.
Comptroller of the Currency, John Dugan, suggests that Cuomo's plan violates federal law. He states, "The code would impose a dramatically different new set of operational standards for appraisal practices on a national scale that would conflict with and effectively supersede the comprehensive federal scheme established by Congress."
How I love to end the week on a happy note! 'Til next time - it's all good!
Friday, May 30, 2008
Friday, May 16, 2008
FHA to the rescue!
Forbes.com reports that the savior of the mortgage mess will be the FHA, in partnership with lenders willing to work with it. Lenders are scrambling to become FHA approved, as the Federal Housing Administration is fast becoming the bank's best friend.
Some major US lenders are again enticing risky borrowers with attractive terms and as little as 3% down. Wells Fargo is looking for borrowers, with some help from the federal government.
Though "FHA delinquencies tend to be quite high," states Alex Pollock, former president of the Federal Home Loan Bank of Chicago. "They are substantially higher than the prime market - not as high as the subprime market, but nonetheless quite high. You're in a sector of the market that is by definition risky."
Bill Glavin, special assistant to FHA Commissioner Brian Montgomery, expects the FHA to increase loan volume by 162% in the fiscal year 2008.
From Wells Fargo to Countrywide to Bank of America, lenders are actively promoting FHA-insured loans through all of their sales channels.
The FHA's role in the market "will clearly fill the void of subprime financing," says Vicki Wagner, an analyst at Standard & Poors. Wagner said an FHA loan "by definition, looks and acts like a subprime loan."
On the same note, Cyril Moulle-Berteaux, managing partner of Traxis Partners, LP, a NY-based hedge fund firm, writes in his Wall St. Journal On-Line op-ed that "The Housing Crisis is Over", as of May 6th.
His indicators:
Some major US lenders are again enticing risky borrowers with attractive terms and as little as 3% down. Wells Fargo is looking for borrowers, with some help from the federal government.
Though "FHA delinquencies tend to be quite high," states Alex Pollock, former president of the Federal Home Loan Bank of Chicago. "They are substantially higher than the prime market - not as high as the subprime market, but nonetheless quite high. You're in a sector of the market that is by definition risky."
Bill Glavin, special assistant to FHA Commissioner Brian Montgomery, expects the FHA to increase loan volume by 162% in the fiscal year 2008.
From Wells Fargo to Countrywide to Bank of America, lenders are actively promoting FHA-insured loans through all of their sales channels.
The FHA's role in the market "will clearly fill the void of subprime financing," says Vicki Wagner, an analyst at Standard & Poors. Wagner said an FHA loan "by definition, looks and acts like a subprime loan."
On the same note, Cyril Moulle-Berteaux, managing partner of Traxis Partners, LP, a NY-based hedge fund firm, writes in his Wall St. Journal On-Line op-ed that "The Housing Crisis is Over", as of May 6th.
His indicators:
- Though being at the bottom does not indicate a return to booming prices, the trend is no longer getting worse.
- This current housing bust is the better part of three years old. Home sales peaked in July, 2005. He quotes home sales down 63% from peak levels of 1.4 million. When adjusted for population growth, housing starts are off 50%, falling to 1982 levels.
- Residential construction is near 15 year lows.
How, then, is the crisis over? Homes are once again affordable and unsold inventory will continue to decline and will peak out in a couple of months.
So, all of that sounds wonderful to me! And, we are FHA approved in 14 counties! So, give us a call when you get to be an FHA lender!
And, 'til next time, it's all good!
Monday, May 05, 2008
Say It Isn't So!!!
The latest word out of Washington, D.C., last week states that the downward trend in the housing market will continue until early next year!
That consensus is far gloomier than the one just a few months ago, when it was thought that the bottom would be reached in late summer or early fall of this year. But, the economists who convened at the spring construction forecast conference of the National Association of Home Builders disagreed. The association's chief economist David F. Seiders says, "Foreclosures keep getting worse. Where in the world does it stop?"
The latest S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index shows that new and existing home prices fell 12.7% in February 2008 from just a year ago.
For those trying to sell their home, that means adding incentives like seller financing or lease options, pricing their home below the competition (which is nearly impossible with all the bank owned properties on the market!), and marketing aggressively.
But not all economists have such a gloomy outlook on the future of the housing market. Nariman Behravesh, chief economist of Global Insight believes that there is now a substantial amount of capital out there to fix the subprime mess.
And, James Glassman, managing director of J.P. Morgan Chase & Co., believes the current mess is partly due to creditors overreacting to the subprime mortgage crisis, leaving only those with cash saved able to buy homes. He states that the overall economy is sound and the crisis will subside as credit becomes freer and home prices stabilize. "The wheels aren't coming off the wagon," he said.
And, so, take your pick of whose opinion is correct.....and, 'til next time, it's all good!
That consensus is far gloomier than the one just a few months ago, when it was thought that the bottom would be reached in late summer or early fall of this year. But, the economists who convened at the spring construction forecast conference of the National Association of Home Builders disagreed. The association's chief economist David F. Seiders says, "Foreclosures keep getting worse. Where in the world does it stop?"
The latest S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index shows that new and existing home prices fell 12.7% in February 2008 from just a year ago.
For those trying to sell their home, that means adding incentives like seller financing or lease options, pricing their home below the competition (which is nearly impossible with all the bank owned properties on the market!), and marketing aggressively.
But not all economists have such a gloomy outlook on the future of the housing market. Nariman Behravesh, chief economist of Global Insight believes that there is now a substantial amount of capital out there to fix the subprime mess.
And, James Glassman, managing director of J.P. Morgan Chase & Co., believes the current mess is partly due to creditors overreacting to the subprime mortgage crisis, leaving only those with cash saved able to buy homes. He states that the overall economy is sound and the crisis will subside as credit becomes freer and home prices stabilize. "The wheels aren't coming off the wagon," he said.
And, so, take your pick of whose opinion is correct.....and, 'til next time, it's all good!
Thursday, May 01, 2008
Another Loan Assistance Program for Homeowners is in the works in Washington....
From today's Wall Street Journal comes another possible program to assist the struggling housing market and those families a step or two away from foreclosure.
This plan would allow homeowners to receive federal loans to pay down as much as 20% of their principal. The plan was introduced by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation to help stem the rising tide of foreclosures.
The success of the program hinges on the willingness of mortgage servicers and investors to agree to restructure those loans in trouble, as well as to pay the financing cost of making a federal loan.
The FDIC believes that "only the federal government is in a position to help arrest the downward cycle in housing markets by facilitating temporary aid to borrowers facing financial difficulty and encouraging widespread restructuring of unaffordable mortgages."
The FDIC Chairperson, Sheila Bair, did acknowledge that the firms willing to service the program would receive some benefit. But those same firms would be required to cover the financing costs and would have to subordinate their own claims to the federal government if they choose to take part in the program.
Right now, the Bush administration, lawmakers, and industry and consumer groups are in the process of being briefed on the program by the FDIC. Ms. Bair states that she cannot foretell a response, but hopes the program will receive bipartisan support.
And I say - please pass this program and any other ones on the table to get this economy moving again!
So, 'til next time, it's all good!
This plan would allow homeowners to receive federal loans to pay down as much as 20% of their principal. The plan was introduced by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation to help stem the rising tide of foreclosures.
The success of the program hinges on the willingness of mortgage servicers and investors to agree to restructure those loans in trouble, as well as to pay the financing cost of making a federal loan.
The FDIC believes that "only the federal government is in a position to help arrest the downward cycle in housing markets by facilitating temporary aid to borrowers facing financial difficulty and encouraging widespread restructuring of unaffordable mortgages."
The FDIC Chairperson, Sheila Bair, did acknowledge that the firms willing to service the program would receive some benefit. But those same firms would be required to cover the financing costs and would have to subordinate their own claims to the federal government if they choose to take part in the program.
Right now, the Bush administration, lawmakers, and industry and consumer groups are in the process of being briefed on the program by the FDIC. Ms. Bair states that she cannot foretell a response, but hopes the program will receive bipartisan support.
And I say - please pass this program and any other ones on the table to get this economy moving again!
So, 'til next time, it's all good!
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